Well, all good runs come to an end, and that happened with me in Week 10. A 13-6-1 run over 2 weeks had me feeling good, but a couple of close call losses put me at a 4-6 mark last week. Duke’s collapse (yay, by the way) and Georgia’s sluggish first three quarters did me in. The season record now sits at 51-47-2. Oh well. We move.
As usual, I’m going with the lines over at DraftKings Sportsbook.
And now, on with this week’s picks.
Miami at GEORGIA TECH +10
This line has dropped from Canes -11/11.5 down to 10. This is not going to be an easy game for Miami, IMHO. I see this being a four-quarter battle, especially if Haynes King plays. I’m also going to the game, so add in my (recently) poor watching luck, and I’m taking Tech with the points here.
FLORIDA +21.5 at Texas
It seems like there’s a legit chance DJ Lagway plays (he’s a gametime decision), which would be a big boost for the Gators obviously. Florida’s defense has also been playing better as the year has gone on. That continues on Saturday. Longhorns win, Gators cover.
CLEMSON -6 at Virginia Tech
I actually was going to go the other way, but I decided to go with the Tigers. I think Clemson’s defensive front is going to give Kyron Drones and the Hokies a hard time and will force enough mistakes. It’s also hard to see the Tigers with two straight stinkers.
GEORGIA -1.5 at Ole Miss
Kirby Smart will find a way to transform the Bulldogs being ranked #3 and the poor way they played against Florida into motivation in Oxford. I trust Georgia in big games way more than Ole Miss.
South Carolina at VANDY +6
I know the Gamecocks are coming in hot after throttling Texas A&M at home, but Vandy has covered this spread against Bama and Texas this year. They do again on Saturday.
Alabama at LSU +3
I honestly don’t know why Bama is favored in this game. Brand bias, I guess. Just as they folded in Neyland Stadium, the Tide will fold at night inside Tiger Stadium. Home field and points, please.
Mississippi State at TENNESSEE -24.5
I feel like this is a get right game for UT, who’s been sloppy for about a month in the first half, managing just 7 points in first halves going back to late September. That changes on Saturday, albeit not in breakout fashion. That will come later when Dylan Sampson and the Tennessee ground game take over in the second half.
Purdue at OHIO STATE -37.5
This is basically a blank check for me as far as point totals. Purdue is TERRIBLE, and the Buckeyes should be able to score at will from the outset. A shellacking in Columbus.
COLORADO -4.5 at Texas Tech
Alright, Buffs. I’m starting to buy in a little bit more. With a path to the CFP via the Big 12 title still in play, Deion Sanders’ group keeps rolling along against a pretty good Red Raiders team that put a dent in Iowa State’s playoff hopes last week.
Florida State at NOTRE DAME -25
FSU might not score, and the Irish will hit the 30s. 1-8 becomes 1-9 for the Capitol City crew.
Odds/lines subject to change. T&Cs apply. See draftkings.com/sportsbook for details.
(Remember to wager responsibly. I am not responsible for your choices. These are simply how I see things playing out.)