That’s another week in the books with just three losses.
Week 9, at 6-3-1, backed up a strong Week 8 at of 7-3, putting me at 13-6-1 over the last two weeks. The push was a Wake Forest 3-point win over Stanford. Would have been nice getting that one there, but still, it’s been a nice stretch. The Canes even covered the 21 against FSU. I’m now sitting at 47-41-2 on the season.
As usual, I’m going with the lines over at DraftKings Sportsbook.
And now, on with this week’s picks.
DUKE +20.5 at Miami
I’ve been thinking about it, but man, three touchdowns is a bit much for me to lay here for Miami. I have a feeling that Saturday afternoon could be a bit like the FSU game. Miami slowly and steadily controls the line of scrimmage on offense with their ground game, as they chip away at a good Duke defense slowly. The Canes’ defense, as long as they don’t get the Va Tech/Cal oopsies in pass coverage, should be good enough to keep the Duke offense in control. I see Miami prevailing by around 17 points. A comfortable win, but not quite enough for the spread.
VANDERBILT +7.5 at Auburn
Diego Pavia is playing for Vandy. I was so vexed by this line that I had to check. As a result, this line makes absolutely 100% zero sense to me. Easy pick here.
Florida vs. GEORGIA -14.5
This is going to be a convincing win by Georgia. The line has come down in favor of Florida, for reasons I don’t get. The Bulldogs win by 3+ scores.
UNC -2.5 at Florida State
I don’t really know why Vegas has this so low. The Tar Heels, while a mercurial and unpredictable bunch, looked good last week against Virginia. I trust them more here.
INDIANA -8 at Michigan State
The Hoosiers appear to be the real deal this year. Sparty is pretty poor, so I’ll go with what my eyes have told me, and that’s Indiana being a far better team that can handle itself on the road.
Oregon at MICHIGAN +14.5
This is a gut call as much as anything. Oregon has been on a roll, but Michigan at home finds a way to keep this game at least somewhat competitive until the end. Oregon, but by around 10-13 points.
TEXAS TECH +13.5 at Iowa State
UCF took the Cyclones to the brink last week and should have won. Texas Tech gives Iowa State a four-quarter fight on Saturday.
TEXAS A&M -3.5 at South Carolina
I think Mike Elko will avoid the letdown game angle here and keep his Aggies red hot against a South Carolina team that’s been especially disappointing at home this season.
Kentucky at TENNESSEE -16.5
Man, this group of Wildcats is really, REEEEAAAAALLLLYYYY bad on the offensive side of the ball this year. Tennessee, statistically, is one of the best scoring defenses of the SEC this century. Vols win in a blowout.
PITTSBURGH +7 at SMU
This is basically a toss up game in my eyes. I don’t know why this isn’t around a 2-3 point game. I’ll happily take the Panthers with a full touchdown here.
Odds/lines subject to change. T&Cs apply. See draftkings.com/sportsbook for details.
(Remember to wager responsibly. I am not responsible for your choices. These are simply how I see things playing out.)